Friday, July 8, 2011

    Very moist upper level disturbance affects the Mid-Atlantic states today. Precipital water content in the order of two inches brings chance for enhanced rainfall associated with microbursts & semi-organized cells into this afternoon & evening. Hydrologic forecast falls just below flash flood guidance. But needs monitoring for changes throughout the day, especially in our eastern mountains.

    Modest storm clusters with periods of strong gusty winds, hail & locally heavy downpours are expected to eject into the Eastern Panhandle & VA/DC area later today. Threat for isolated severe weather will also develop in parts of the northeast this evening.

    Rain & cloud cover provide a nice break from the mundane summertime forecast. Temps still manage the low 80s before sundown. Expect clearing skies, widespread fog development & overnight with lows in the low 60s. High pressure & dry air will dominate the forecast Saturday. However, broken cloud clutter & fragmented showers could linger into early Saturday, especially along the WV/VA border. Temps Saturday will spike in the upper 80s, then calm Saturday night with lows 60s.

    Hot & dry continental air mass will make its way into the eastern US Sunday into the first part of next week. Things will really heat up Sunday with clear skies & lots of sunshine on tap. Highs in the low 90s are likely Sunday. Low to mid 90s are possible Monday. Cold front will cross the Central Plains Tuesday,  bringing chance of rain & thunder Tuesday into Wednesday next week.

850 millibar map depicts impending heatwave Sunday/Monday. Courtesy, Unysis Weather