Friday, July 29, 2011

    Southeastern Texas prepares for Tropical Storm Don to make landfall a few miles north of Brownsville tonight. Don was heading WNW at 14 MPH, still about 250 miles SE of Corpus Christi this morning. Max sustained winds were at 50 MPH. Pressure holding steady at 1000 millibars. Some strengthening is still expected before Don makes landfall. Storm surge will raise water levels near the coast by as much as 2 feet. Large damaging waves will accompany the storm as it makes landfall overnight. Numerous strong rain showers and thunderstorms will drop 3 to 5 inches of sorely-needed rain, mainly across southeastern Texas.

    High pressure ridging breaks down across the east today...heat advisory is in effect for nearly all counties west of I-79 and extreme eastern portions of the Eastern Panhandle/DC/Baltimore today. Heat and humidity will put heat index close to 100 this afternoon. Broken bands of showers and storms affect northern WV, PA & MD his afternoon & tonight. A few storms will linger into Saturday. Clearing skies with highs around 90 for the rest of the weekend.

    Hot and humid air mass ahead of a cold frontal boundary will trigger broken thunderstorm activity this afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms now firing across the southern Great Lakes will spread into the Ohio Valley & Mid-Atlantic states this afternoon & evening. Broken storm cells could produce strong damaging winds and heavy downpours, mainly across the northern half of our state tonight into early Saturday. Temps will be in the upper 60s tonight.

    Cold front will get hung up in the mountains Saturday, bringing chances for showers and thunder further south. Few scattered showers/storms will continue to fire across southern WV and southwestern VA Saturday afternoon. Otherwise, more stable air will gradually fill in behind the frontal boundary late Saturday. Moist ground will allow widespread fog development Saturday night.

    This will set us up for a tranquil, sunny Sunday...Highs this weekend will be around 90. Lows will fall to the low to mid 60s. Forecast will stay warm and dry with highs around 90 next week. Chance for rain/thunder returns by midweek.

Convective outlook today courtesy of SPC. Click to enlarge.