Wednesday, July 27, 2011

    Tropical weather outlook...After a fairly quiet few days in the lower latitudes, a few areas of interest have developed. A tropical wave near the Yucatan Peninsula,  22N, 85W is beginning to show strong potential for tropical development in the next 12-24 hours. Forecasters say that the system has an 80% chance of developing into a tropical storm in the next day as it moves WNW at 15 MPH. Air Force Reserve hurricane hunters will be deployed to investigate this system later today.

    Elsewhere, an area of strong storms and rain showers has developed a few hundred miles east of St. Lucia and the Windward Islands. Weak cyclonic flow has been observed by GOES satellite. Forecasters are closely watching this system for further tropical development. Elsewhere, tropical development is not expected.

    Meanwhile, back on the mainland...Surface high pressure kept a strong hold on our area overnight. Temperatures fell into the low 60s & dew points fell into the upper 50s last night. This made for another cool, comfortable overnight/morning. Early morning fog burned off quickly, leaving clear, mostly sunny skies for the rest of today. Temps will hit the mid/upper 80s this afternoon...then low 60s with patchy fog again tonight.

    High pressure will keep our forecast dry & tranquil through tonight, Thursday & most of the day Friday. Warm front will traverse the area Thursday. Highs Thursday will be in the mid 90s. More humidity is on tap as well. Heat indices will fall just below advisory criteria. But things will be plenty hot for the second half of the work week.

    Cold front & deeper moisture will trigger scattered weekend storms. Showers & storms could ramp up as early as Friday afternoon but our best chances for thunder will be Saturday. Any weekend storms that do fire could produce heavy downpours. Forecast will stay hot & humid with a few scattered storms to start next week.