Thursday, August 4, 2011

Tropical Outlook

    Tropical Storm watches are still in effect for many Caribbean Islands today. Emily has remained fairly stationary over the past 24 hours, meandering 105 miles SSE of Port Au Prince, Haiti. But forecasters expect that Emily will resume her WNW track & cross the southwestern peninsula of Haiti sometime today. Minimum pressure is holding steady at 1005 millibars. Winds are still sustained at 50 MPH...

    Although Emily's interaction with land has hindered further development over the past few days, she has become a major threat to Haiti, Dominican Republic and the Bahamas. An average of 6-12 inches of rainfall forecast with isolated spots of up to 20 inches in the mountainous terrains!! These rains would cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Tropical storm force winds and a storm surge up to 3 feet are also possible in these islands...Emily is expected to graze the Florida coast in the next 72 hours, then race northeast further out in to the Atlantic, dissipating after 96 hours. Emily will prove minimal threat to US mainland.

    In the East Pacific Ocean...Eugene has been downgraded to Cat 3. Eugene will continue on a WNW track at 14 MPH and is not expected to threaten land.

    Meanwhile in the West Pacific Ocean, Super Typhoon Muifa remains fairly stationary about 300 miles off the Chinese coast. This storm is a major threat to surrounding coastlines.

    Elsewhere, tropical cyclone development is not expected in the next 48 hours.