Tuesday, September 6, 2011

    ***Our 2-day rainfall forecast courtesy of the Hydrometeorlogical Prediction Center depicts much of the heaviest rainfall occurring just to our north, in central PA. We're lookin' at 4-5 inches over the next 48 hours. Don't forget to stay on top of all the current weather watches/warnings by clicking on the National Weather Service logo to on the right-hand side of this page. You can also follow rising water levels using the links on the right-hand side of the page!****

Remnants of Tropical Storm Lee have moved north through the Mississippi & Tennessee Valleys. The system has now gotten hung up in our Appalachian Mountains thanks to blocking high pressure to our north. It is expected to remain relatively stationary over the next 36 hours, while continued rotation will steadily toss copious amounts of moisture over the Mid Atlantic & Northeast states. Flash flood watches are in effect for West Virginia and several neighboring states. Residents and travelers should pay close attention to rising water in and around streams & creeks over the coming days. Rising waters may also affect rivers by midweek as this prolonged event is expected to bring 5+ additional inches of rain before week's end. An upgrade to flood/flash flood warning may be warranted, especially for areas that have already received 3+ inches of rain since Friday.

    For the rest of today...we finally get some cooler air mixing into the mountain state but a soggy forecast puts a damper on our fall fun. We've managed to escape excessive rainfall so far. But rain has been falling steadily enough to keep flash flood watches in place. Still, it wouldn't take much heavy rainfall to trigger flash flooding in areas that were already dumped on over the long weekend. Isolated threat for severe weather is expected stay to our south, in the Carolinas & extreme western Virginia. Strong thunderstorms could produce damaging winds and an isolated tornado this afternoon and evening. Anyone with interests from the Carolinas to Roanoke should stay tuned to local TV/radio for severe weather updates.

    Temperatures are expected to remain fairly steady today and tonight. Highs are only expected to reach the mid 60s today. Cloud cover will keep temps in the low to mid 60s tonight. Still expecting moderate rainfall into the overnight. We'll see breezy conditions, especially in our mountain counties tonight as well.

    For Wednesday...Remnants of Lee will slowly dissipate, getting caught up in the westerlies and gradually opening up/spreading into the Northeast. We can expect a few peaks of sunshine during the day Wednesday. If this forecast is realized that little bit of solar radiation would make a world of difference during the day Wednesday. If enough sunshine reaches the surface, we could see scattered pop up thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon/evening. Otherwise, we'll see rain shower activity becoming more and more disorganized late Wednesday into Thursday.

    Warmer temperatures are expected for the second half of the work week. Again, any sunshine that manages to reach the surface will make a big difference in our temperature forecast. Expecting highs in the upper 70s Wednesday. Then highs will reach the low 80s both Thursday and Friday.

    Our weekend forecast will stay on the soggy side, even into the first part of next week. Katia has been upgraded to a category 3 but poses little immediate threat to US mainland. The storm is still about 400 miles south of Bermuda and is expected to take a turn to the northeast over the next 48 hours.