Sunday, May 16, 2010

After Midnight

It was indeed perfect for sleeping outside (away from any solid white lines). Having enjoyed a weekend of calm weather we’ll once again be exposed to depressing grey skies, soggy shoes and unsettled weather for the next several days. A respectable low pressure disturbance is currently moving northeastward from Kentucky delivering a line of heavy rain showers and thunderstorms to much of the southeastern U.S. this afternoon. We can expect those same rain showers to move across most of West Virginia this evening through tonight. However, the chances of any leftover thunderstorms are almost none. Also, based on observations and model analysis areas north of RT 50 will be sparred any measureable rainfall until around midnight. After midnight, the entire forecast area will observe substantial rainfall amounts through Monday. Folks near poorly drained areas will want to pay attention for any potential flash flood warnings through the rest of today, tonight and tomorrow.

New rainfall through 8 PM Monday

As much as 2.25 inches of new rainfall is expected to fall in the northern mountains through 8 PM Monday. Here, we could receive 1-1.5 inches through Monday. Although more rain is on tap for Tuesday & Wednesday, precipitation will be light. Even so, this additional rainfall could become problematic for those flood prone areas. We’ll finally start to get a break from the wet stuff late Wednesday/Thursday. However, another low pressure system is on track for next weekend. Will definitely monitor that system for next weekend and report as each new weather model provides more and more confidence in next weekend’s weather.

10 day GFS, 8 PM next Saturday, May 22. More rain on tap from our SW. More later...

Mild temperatures will continue through Wednesday. We’re looking at daytime temps reaching the low to mid 60s. Nights will cool down to the low 50s for the entire week. Warmer air will arrive Thursday, raising the mercury into the mid to upper 70s.

Mild temps through Wednesday. Not too hot, not too cold.