Saturday, February 6, 2010

Deja Vu

Measured 11” of snow outside my door here in Morgantown at 2 PM. As much as 30” of snow have been reported in the eastern panhandle of WV with more snow steadily falling. Now that the storm is being pulled out into the Atlantic Ocean, snow will begin to taper off and any lingering moisture will surely be gone by 8 PM tonight. High pressure and significantly colder air will begin building into our area tonight dropping temperatures into the single digits. Sunday, partly sunny skies will allow temperatures to reach the low 20s, but Sunday night will be another cold one as the mercury drops to around 9 degrees. Monday will be partly sunny and dry with temps reaching the upper 20s. Tuesday brings another round of winter weather strangely reminiscent of last night’s storm. Warm air will once again wedge in from the southwest. So we’ll again see a mix of rain/freezing rain changing to all snow late Tuesday continuing through Wednesday. Snowfall accumulation will depend greatly on the behavior of that warm air wedge Tuesday afternoon. If the warm air maintains a position of relative control, we can expect 3-4 inches of snow Tuesday and Wednesday. If colder air prevails, we can anticipate 8-10 inches of snow by midweek. The “bullseye” of excessive snowfall Tuesday/Wednesday will be centered over southeastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and eastern Maryland. These areas can look forward to 16-20+ inches of snow by midweek. Conditions will begin to clear out again on Thursday as high pressure builds back into the area the finish out the week. Next weekend’s weather will depend on the track of a strong low pressure system from the Gulf of Mexico. For now, this system seems to want to trend SE towards FL, SC and NC and into the Atlantic. This may simply throw some cloud cover our way for the weekend. Of course, the track of that system is still uncertain, so will stay up on any developments.